Contractors will need to depend on a familiar formula in 2026 as the construction industry navigates complex market conditions. Over the past 12 months, construction activity leaned heavily on a narrow group of winning sectors, particularly data center construction and public infrastructure projects.
Material prices are unlikely to deliver either a shock or reset in 2026, according to construction industry experts. Forecasts suggest material costs will inflate approximately 2% to 4% this year. Labor costs continue to exert far greater pressure on project budgets than materials.
Cement and concrete prices appear largely flat, while steel and aluminum remain elevated due to tariff-related impacts. Electrical equipment prices tied to grid upgrades and the artificial intelligence boom should continue to swing, with prices rising sharply on tariffs and now experiencing a "give back" phase.
The data center construction boom shows no signs of a slowdown in 2026. Hyperscalers are pushing to build billion-dollar facilities at an aggressive pace, which is a major boon for contractors with experience in these types of buildouts.
Vacancy rates sit at extremely low levels in the sector, creating a positive indicator for more construction activity in the year ahead. Markets where power and infrastructure are already in place are seeing particularly strong development activity.
The largest unknown in 2026 is tariff policy itself. According to Anirban Basu, chief economist at Associated Builders and Contractors, "It remains to be seen which level of the supply chain will bear the brunt of higher costs." The full effect of tariffs has yet to rear its final impact.
Contractors are including stronger escalation language in contracts to account for potential price volatility. Many firms are also proactively sourcing products domestically when possible or where tariff rates are reasonable.
Driven by strong fundamentals, the construction industry continues to demonstrate remarkable resilience and growth potential. The industry's contribution to the economy is poised for continued expansion in the coming years.
According to Deloitte, the construction industry in 2024 was defined by a 10% increase in nominal value added and a 12% increase in gross output, indicating a healthy market environment. Such robust fundamentals provide a sound investment landscape for construction firms aiming to scale operations.
Increased demand for sustainable and energy-efficient buildings is a key driver, aligning with global trends toward green construction. This shift is creating new opportunities for contractors with expertise in sustainable building practices and energy-efficient systems.