On August 6th, the operation of the mechanical industrial economic operation in the first half of 2021 was held in Beijing. This conference was presided over by the Vice President and Secretary General of China Machinery Industry Federation. Chen Bin, executive vice president of China Machinery Industry Association, and Chen Shhua, Deputy Secretary-General of China Automotive Industry Association attended the conference. Due to the influence of the epidemic, this conference still uses the form of live conference + online broadcast.
At the meeting, Chen Bin, executive vice president of China Machinery Industry Association, issued the information report of the mechanical industrial economic operation in the first half of 2021. It also pointed out that in 2021, the overall situation of mechanical industrial economic operations will present the pre-high and low situation. The growth rate of major economic indicators in the second half of the year has slowed down in the first half of the year, but the machinery industry has completed annual target confidence. It is expected that the year-round, the growth rate of mechanical industries, the growth rate of operating income and profit can reach 6%, and foreign trade import and export is expected to achieve new breakthroughs.
The following is the full text of the report:
In 2021, the "14th Five-Year Plan" is open, and the national economic operation is generally stable and continuously developed. Thanks to the effective control of the domestic epidemic and the continuous release of the macro policy effect, the demand for the machinery industry in the first half of the year gradually recovered, the operating environment continued to improve, the foreign trade exports were better than expected, and the development confidence in the company continued to increase, and the industry production kept a stable trend. Clear. However, the impact of raw material prices on the efficiency of mechanical enterprises began to appear, and the continuous evolution of overseas epidemic exacerbated the complexity of foreign trade situation, and the rapid growth of the borniths has formed pressure on the expiration of the index growth in the second half of this year. The machinery industry has a smooth operation and high The task of quality development is still arduous.
First, the operation of the machinery industry in the first half of the year
Since the influence of the previous year, the main economic indicators of the machinery industry have shown high-speed growth, and thereafter, the growth rate will present the monthly fading trend. As of the first half of the year, the main economic indicators of the machinery industry were still at a higher level.
(1) Add value growth rate high return
According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, the added value of the machinery industry increased by 22.3% year-on-year, higher than the national industrial and manufacturing 6.4 and 5.2 percentage points, and fell from 21.2 percentage points in the first quarter; the average increase of 9.8% in two years. The five national economic industries, general equipment manufacturing, special equipment manufacturing, automotive manufacturing, electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing, automotive manufacturing, electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing, and instrumentation manufacturing industries increased by 24.3%, 20.1%, 21.8%, respectively. 29.4% and 19.2%, with an average growth rate of more than 8% in two years.
(2) Product production remains stable
In the first half of this year, the mechanical industrial production continued the 121 main products of the previous year, and the total number of major products that were highly monitored, and the specific gravity of the accumulated output was maintained in more than 94%. At the end of June, 114 products were achieved, accounting for 94.2%, and 7 products decreased year-on-year, accounting for 5.8%. From the data of the month, the proportion of products achieved by the growth of the single month production in June is maintained at two-thirds.
In the first half of the year, the main product production of the machinery industry presented the following characteristics: First, the production of the packaging machinery production, packaging equipment, metal containers and other products were doubled. Second, the engineering machinery products have gradually returned to production and sales growth after years of rapid growth, and the growth rate of excavators, loaders, cement special equipment, forklifts, etc. are around 30%. The third is that the production of agricultural machinery products is growing stable, and the growth rate has slowed down, large, medium and small tractors increased by 57.4%, 18.5% and 27.6% respectively. Fourth, the machine tool products have a recovery growth, metal cutting machine, machine tool number, metal cutting tool, etc. The output of more than 30%, and the industrial robot has grown by nearly 70%. V., the amount of automotive production is 12.569 million, respectively, 12.891 million, an increase of 24.2% and 25.6% year-on-year, affected by the shortage of chip, 5, 6 months, down the month, the momentum of recovery growth is blocked. Sixth, partial transmission and electrical power production is weak, transformers, power capacitors and other product outputs have declined year-on-year.
(3) The capacity utilization rate is at a high level
Under production of stable production, the capacity utilization level of main industries in the machinery industry in the first half of the year is in a high level, which is significantly improved compared with the same period last year. General equipment manufacturing, special equipment manufacturing, automotive manufacturing and electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing capacity utilization are 80.9%, 81.3%, 76.2% and 81.4%, which except for automotive manufacturing, and other industries have higher capacity utilization. The average level of industrial production capacity in the country. Compared with the same period last year, the capacity utilization rate of the above four industries increased by 6.9, 6.6, 9.4 and 7.7 percentage points respectively.
(4) The growth rate of benefits indicators is still high
According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the total operating income of 12.4 million yuan in the first half of the year, an increase of 30.85% year-on-year; the total profit was 80.132 billion yuan, an increase of 41.99% year-on-year; the growth rate of the two indicators is at a high level. In the first half of the year, the operating income profit margin was 6.42%, an increase of 0.51 percentage points over the same period in the previous year. Compared with the national industry, the mechanical industrial income growth rate is 2.97 percentage points, with a total profit growth rate of 24.95 percentage points, and the operating income profit is 0.69 percentage points. As the last year's contrast base reached, the growth rate of mechanical industry benefits indicators continued to slow. Compared with the first quarter, the growth rate of operating income and total profits fell to 27.8 and 196.18 percentage points respectively.
(5) The development of the branch industry is comprehensive
In the first half of the year, the operation trend of 14 sub-industries in the machinery industry was fully good. The operating income achieved more than 10% growth, of which robots and intelligent manufacturing, other civilian machinery, electricity electrical appliances and machine tool industry growth exceeded 30%; total profit It achieved more than 10% growth, with other civil machinery industry more than 90%, the speed of the machine tool industry exceeded 85%, ranking the first two, electrical appliances, robots and intelligent manufacturing and automotive industry profit growth rates also more than 40 %.
(6) Fixed asset investment is in recovery
According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the machinery industry mainly involved in the main types of general equipment manufacturing, special equipment manufacturing, electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing and instrumentation manufacturing, electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing, and instrumentation manufacturing, 28.5%, 24.2 respectively increased by 10.6%, 28.5%, 24.2, respectively. % And 25.1%, car manufacturing fixed asset investment fell 2.3% year-on-year. In 2019, General Equipment Manufacturing and Auto Manufacturing Investment remains negative, 9.3% and 22.7%, respectively; special equipment manufacturing, electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing and instrumentation manufacturing investment increased by 12.2%, 3%, and 24.5, respectively. %. Overall, the mechanical industrial fixed asset investment is still weak, and the lack of capital is the main factor in recent investment in enterprises.
Fixed asset investment is in recovery
Second, the highlight of the industry in the first half of the industry
(1) Innovation driver, the development of the new industrial support industry
In the first half of the year, the mechanical industrial strategic emerging industry related industries accumulated operating income of 9.49 trillion yuan, an increase of 32.07% year-on-year, and the growth rate was 1.22 percentage points higher than the mechanical industry; achieving total profit of 596.841 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45.07%, growth rate It is 3.08 percentage points higher than the average level of machinery industry. From a proportion, the proportion of mechanical industrial strategic emerging industries in the first half of the year was 75.98%, an increase of 1.58 percentage points in the same period of the previous year; the total profit was 74.48%, which was 0.88 percentage points over the same period of the previous year. The strategic emerging industry is still leading and driving the recovery and development of the machinery industry.
Innovation driver, the development of new industries support industry
(2) grab the grabber, import and export trade is super expensive
Thanks to the effective prevention and control of the domestic epidemic and the rapid recovery of the production order, the main movement of machinery enterprises, grabbing the international market. In the first half of the year, my country's machinery industry accumulated total import and export totaled $ 491.2 billion, an increase of 36% year-on-year. Among them, the total exports were 311.66 billion US dollars, an increase of 40.3% year-on-year, with an import of $ 18.9.6 billion, an increase of 29.2% year-on-year, and the trade surplus is $ 131.6 billion, and it creates a new high in the same period. From a specific product, the export of traditional advantages such as automotive parts and low-voltage electrical equipment and other mechanical industries increased significantly. In the first half of the year, the export of automobile parts was $ 23.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 57.35%; the low-voltage switch and control device export amount was 14.9.36 billion US dollars, an increase of 39.53%; the battery export was 13.113 billion US dollars, an increase of 71.9%. In addition, the export of automotive vehicles has been prominent, and the export volume exceeds 88 million units in the first half of the year, an increase of 108.49% year-on-year. There are also some enterprises to take a variety of ways, actively explore the international market, such as the new model of intelligent mine in the mountains and rivers successfully opened the Indonesian market, driving the total export of enterprises to over 90%; Zoomlion provides users with product selection "One-stop" service, transportation, customs clearance, third-party inspection, operation training, etc., the first half of the Tower machine has sharply jumped in the Philippines market.
Grab the grabber, import and export trade is super expected
(3) "Double Carbon" Target Leading Industry Transformation
Take the "Carbon Peak, Carbon Neutral" Targets, the mechanical industry is actively adjusted to help energy consumption. In the first half of the year, my country's new energy automotive production and sales completed 1215,000 vehicles and 1201,000, a year-on-year increase of 2 times; cumulative sales have been flat in 2019; new energy vehicle sales accounts for 5.4% year from the beginning of this year to the first half of the year 9.4%. Power generation equipment has produced 617.233 million kilowatts, including 336.74 million kilowatts of clean energy hydropower and wind motor, accounting for 54.55%, more than half of the number, and the proportion increased by 5.21 percentage points over the previous year. At the same time, the mechanical enterprises actively explore opportunities in the "double carbon" new market, deepen the integration with high load energy industries, such as Shanghai Electric Group and Bengang Group launched a comprehensive strategic cooperation to help build green smart clean steel mills.
(4) Self-innovation, major equipment development has made new progress
The mechanical industry adheres to the concept of development of independent innovation, and the development of major equipment has been continuously improved. Today, Harbin Electric Group and Oriental Electrical Group participated in the construction of hydropower projects in construction of the largest, technical difficulty, and the highest-tech system - Jinsha Jiang Baihe Taohe Hydropower Station, the first batch of millions of kilowatt hydraulic generator sets to put production power, realize my country's high-end equipment Made of major breakthroughs in manufacturing. Dongfang Electric independently developed the first F-class 50MW heavy gas turbine to achieve full load stability, marking a major breakthrough in my country's autonomous power industry. China Ship Group, the first set of natural gas long-range domestic 30MW-level burns, etc., the national oil and gas pipe network group, the national oil and gas pipe network group, the national oil and gas pipeline network group, the national oil and gas pipeline network group The compressor group passes the acceptance, and it is another major progress in my country's energy equipment field.
(5) Digital intelligence gives development new movable energy
Due to the empowerment of digitization, intelligent technology, the mechanical industry provides equipment for equipment for the national economy, and also has achieved new movements for themselves. Xugong Group's unmanned road machinery was successfully applied to the first desert expressway S21 Au Expressway in Xinjiang, overcoming extreme work conditions, and improved road construction speed. Xinsong Company participated in the development of intelligent fritted robots successfully applied to the Gezhouba Hydropower, subverting the traditional human semi-mechanized drifting model. The unmanned wheat harvester produced by Weichai Lvwo and the unmanned tractor form an unmanned harvest system, and the mobile control is achieved by mobile control, and the harvesting operation of wheat harvesting and field transport will improve the harvest efficiency. The national first-servant digital orbit in China, China's first China Shipping Digital Railway, opened its operation. The line is in a virtual orbit in a digital magnetic label, which combines automatic driving techniques, with a small investment, short construction cycle, high flexibility, high transportation energy, and high efficiency.
(6) Production and education integration, help talent training
In order to improve the professional and technical talents in the current industry and the lack of high-end talents, industry associations and mechanical enterprises have actively organized and participated in the integration of education and education, promoting the industry chain, the deep integration of the talent chain and the industrial chain. Since this year, the "Machinery Industry" has been enacted, and the "Talents Training Plan" of the Machinery Industry has been issued. It has held urgent need for talented talent, and jointly launched a mechanical industry technology skill competition with government departments. The mechanical industry's first-line workers' science and technology award selection, Working in vocational skills grade evaluation. At present, the industry has set up more than 40 education integration, and the school-enterprise cooperation group has played a positive role in promoting talents.
Third, the difficulties and problems faced in the industry
(1) The price of raw materials continues to high, and the cost of industrial cost is rising.
The price of bulk commodities such as steel and non-ferrous metals in the first half of this year continued to rise sharply. According to the national statistical bureau, the purchase price index of industrial producers increased by 13.1% year-on-year, in which the black metal materials, non-ferrous metallic materials and wires increased by 27.7% and 26.8% respectively, and the rise is obvious, resulting in machinery industrial raw materials procurement price Universally improved, corporate cost pressure is increased. According to the special survey of the machinery industry, 95% of the investigated enterprises have reported that the price of raw material procurement has risen this year, and 91% of the investigated enterprises have increased the price of spare parts purchases since this year.
(2) The product price is low, the benefit index has declined
According to the NGR statistical bureau, in the context of the continuous, substantial, rapid rise in raw materials, the price of machinery industrial products has increased weak and relatively lag. In the first three months of this year, the factory price index of the machinery industry is 99.2, 99.1, and 99.5, respectively, is still in a decrease in a year-on-year. Until the machinery industry factory price index was transferred from 1.1% year-on-year, but far below the price of raw materials purchased price index and raw materials industry excess price index increased by more than 26%.
The difference in raw material procurement price and product sales price has affected the profits of the machinery industry. The monthly data shows that the growth rate of the machinery industry has fallen sharply, and the growth rate of March is 94.1%, fell from 3.7% in April, May 1.99% in May, and the growth rate of June is positive, down 9.84% year-on-year.
(3) Recycling of accounts, low turnover rate of industry funds
The National Bureau of Statistics shows that the total amount of machinery industry receivables at the end of June is 5.52 trillion yuan, an increase of 9.72% year-on-year, accounting for nearly one-third of the total national industrial receipt. The special survey results show that 60% of the investigated enterprises receivable in the first half of the year increased year-on-year, and 24% of companies increased more than 10%; more than 60% of the investigated enterprises should increase year-on-year, 23% increase more than 10% . Enterprises reflect the significant increase in customers who use the bill of tickets, resulting in an increase in the turnover of their own funds. At the end of June, the turnover ratio of the mechanical industrial flow assets was 1.45 times, which was 0.36 industries than the same period.
Fourth, the machinery industry is full of running trend
In the first half of the year, the results of my country's overtinent epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development have been consolidated and expanded, and the machinery industry also showed a smooth development operation. Outlook in the second half of the year, it is good to accumulate and release the factors in the operation and development of mechanical industries. First, the economic environment improvement has driven market demand expansion. In the context of stabilizing the national economy, steady and medium-sized background, mechanical industrial user industry transformation and upgrading, expanding the willingness of production, the development of manufacturing fixed asset investment increased by 19.2% in the first half of the year, better than the smooth operation of the mechanical industrial production. The second is a stable policy environment and accurate regulatory measures to boost corporate confidence. The support policy of support for the preliminary country continued to appear. A group of precision regulatory policies issued in the first half of the year, focusing on the intensity of small and medium-sized enterprises, difficulties, and increasing corporate bails, building policies, and raising the development confidence of enterprises. The third is the speed of digital intelligent development in the context of the prevention and control of the epidemic. The global epidemic prevention and control situation is complicated and more varied, and it has deeply affects the development trend of industrial technology. The mechanical industrial user industry has a surge in digital transformation and intelligent manufacturing. The improvement of external demand is combined with the endogenous motivation of the mechanical industrial transformation and promoting the mechanical industry to practice high-quality development strategies.
However, it should be seen that the mechanical industry has increased steady operation in the second half of the year. The unstable, uncertain factors in the recent industry, need close attention. First, some product production has a high level indication. In the month of June, the output of excavator was 2.5.65%, down 25.65% year-on-year; car production completed 19.43 million, down 16.5% year-on-year; large and medium-sized tractors, agricultural products, primary processing machinery, pollution prevention equipment, etc. also decreased year-on-year. The second is uncertainty in the foreign trade market. Key Contact Enterprise Special Survey shows that the overseas market continues orders, 40% enterprises can meet the production of three quarters in hand orders, two of whom can meet all-year production in hand orders. The influence of epidemic fluctuations on project performance and finished product pick-up, and the impact of exchange rate rises, there is an uncertainty in the export situation of machinery industrial foreign trade in the second half of the year. Third, the price of raw materials is still high. Recently, steel and non-ferrous metals such as commodity prices have increased, but the price is still in high shock, and the impact on the effectiveness of the machinery industry is continuing. In the second half of the year, the mechanical enterprises will face the funds of the raw material cost and the recycling of the recovery of accounts. In addition, the year-on-year base of the monthly raised, also forms a significant pressure on the growth of the main indicators in the second half.
In summary, 2021 mechanical industrial economic operations will presented the pre-high and low trend. The growth rate of major economic indicators in the second half of the year is significantly slow in the first half of the year, but the machinery industry has completed annual target confidence. It is expected that the year-round, the growth rate of mechanical industries, the growth rate of operating income and profit can reach 6%, and foreign trade import and export is expected to achieve new breakthroughs.
This year is the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan", in the face of sustained global epidemics, complex and severe internal and external economic environment, the machinery industry will firmly confident, active as, adhere to the overall stroke, Actively implement the new development concept and continue to promote high quality development of machinery industry.
