A few days ago, the third member congress of the 8th China Heavy Machinery Industry Association (hereinafter referred to as the Association) and the Council were jointly held online and offline. The latest data released at the meeting showed that in 2021, the heavy machinery industry realized an operating income of 1.2 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.2%; The total profit was 66.7 billion yuan, an increase of 0.7% year on year. From January to may 2022, the heavy machinery industry realized an operating income of 420 billion yuan, a decrease of 3% over the same period of the previous year; The total profit decreased by more than 20%.
Jing Xiaobo, executive vice president of China Heavy Machinery Industry Association, said that under the complex and changeable development environment at home and abroad, heavy machinery enterprises should cope with risks and challenges, overcome various difficulties, build an industrial foundation, strengthen the tension and toughness of the industrial chain and supply chain, and the industrial economic operation continues to recover steadily. Import and export trade has reached a record high, and high-quality development has achieved new results. The "14th five year plan" has achieved a good start.
The main products are growing and the market is still uncertain
In the past year, the development of heavy machinery industry has remained stable, and the output of main products has achieved positive growth. Among them, the output of metal rolling equipment and cement special equipment has increased by more than 15%, and the output of metal smelting equipment has increased by more than 10%; The growth rate of special mine equipment and lifting and transportation machinery is about 3%.
In 2021, the total import and export volume of heavy machinery industry reached US $28.853 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 27.43%. Among them, the export volume was 24.36 billion US dollars, with a year-on-year increase of 34.60%; The import volume was 4.493 billion US dollars, a year-on-year decrease of 1.12%; The import and export surplus was 19.866 billion US dollars, up 46.58% year on year. The industry's import and export trade exceeded the historical record in 2008 and reached a new high.
Since the beginning of this year, in the face of the complex and changeable economic environment, the impact of multiple factors such as rising raw material prices, poor logistics and transportation, and rising freight rates has increased the loss of the industry. From January to may 2022, the loss of the industry increased by 4.4 percentage points over the previous year, and the loss of loss making enterprises increased by 40% year-on-year. The total profit of the industry decreased by more than 20% year-on-year, and the profit rate decreased by 1.3 percentage points over the previous year.
In addition, the difficulty in recovering accounts receivable has always been a major problem hindering the development of the industry. From January to may 2022, the accounts receivable of the industry increased by 7% year-on-year, and the inventory increased by 9% year-on-year. The industry also faces the challenge of difficult recruitment. According to the research of the association, the problems of recruitment difficulty and personnel loss of enterprises have always existed. It is mainly due to the large number of retired technicians, the lack of skilled workers and technicians in the industry, and the difficulty in introducing high-end composite talents; The turnover rate of on-the-job employees has increased, especially the turnover rate of young business backbone and production front-line backbone.
In the first half of 2022, some industries maintained steady growth, and the output of metallurgical machinery and mining machinery maintained a growth trend, with the growth rate of more than 5%; The output of material handling machinery decreased, of which the crane decreased by more than 20%. With the continuous acceleration of enterprises' resumption of work and production, the logistics transportation and industrial chain supply chain are continuously unblocked, and the economic operation of the industry presents positive changes. The operating income of the industry in the first half of the year is basically the same as that in 2021.
The market situation of the heavy machinery industry in 2021 is relatively good, but due to the weak growth of the traditional service market, the lack of new capacity projects, the total market volume of heavy machinery is seriously insufficient, and it has become a long-term high probability event, which will further intensify the intensity and cruelty of market competition. Since 2022, due to the impact of the epidemic and other factors, the production and delivery of the enterprise are not smooth, resulting in the extension of the delivery date, which has a great impact on the signing of subsequent orders. According to the survey of 66 enterprises by the association, the cumulative order volume from January to may 2022 increased by 1.7% year-on-year, among which the orders of some enterprises decreased significantly, and the production expectation for the whole year was weak. There is still uncertainty in the import and export trade situation of the industry in 2022.
Be brave to undertake national tasks and make contributions to a great country
Looking back on the past year, heavy machinery enterprises overcame difficulties, seized opportunities, responded positively, bravely undertook national tasks, and made outstanding contributions to a series of major projects representing the "national business card".
In 2021, among the top ten major enterprises and top ten super projects of central enterprises, China's first heavy, second heavy equipment, Shanghai heavy, CITIC Heavy Industries and other enterprises have made important contributions to the development and national defense construction of new equipment such as "Hualong No. 1" nuclear power unit, G50 gas turbine, Shidaowan high temperature gas cooled reactor nuclear power station, the first batch of units of Baihetan Hydropower Station, and Sinopec Zhenhai base; The launch tower produced by Taichung group helped launch the Long March II f-13 carrier rocket of Shenzhou 13 manned spacecraft; CITIC Heavy Industry makes special metal castings and forgings for the escape silo (escape tower) of Shenzhou 13 manned spacecraft and the supporting engine shell; The second heavy equipment has completed the development of the core components of the "artificial sun".
At the same time, heavy machinery enterprises attach great importance to scientific and technological innovation, and have made great achievements and achieved fruitful innovation results.
? the 350 ton converter tilting heat load test run produced by Taichung group was successful. It is the largest converter steelmaking complete equipment in China, with an annual output of 3.6 million tons.
? Dalian Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. successfully developed the world's first 7x82df crankshaft. Compared with the 7g80 crankshaft of the same size, the accuracy of the hot assembly dimension chain of the crankshaft has increased by more than 50%, filling the world gap.
? through independent innovation, Tiandi technology developed msj5.8/1000/1000 shaft boring machine for the first time, breaking the monopoly of foreign companies.
? Zhenhua heavy industry independently developed the world's first hydrogen fuel cell tire crane and put it into trial operation, filling the gap in the application of hydrogen fuel cells in the port machinery industry.
? the first shield machine developed by North Heavy Industries for Shenyang Metro Line 1 was successfully off the line. This shield machine is the most powerful shield machine of the same type and level in the world at present. The localization rate has reached 100%, realizing a new leap in China's high-end manufacturing.
? the 1780mm hot continuous rolling production line of Guangxi Fangchenggang iron and steel base contracted by China First Heavy Industry Corporation successfully rolled 0.85mm × The 1280mm steel strip has set a new record for the thinnest thickness of conventional wide strip hot continuous rolling products in the industry.
In 2021, the heavy machinery industry won 28 China machinery industry science and technology awards, including 1 special prize, 2 first prizes, 9 second prizes and 16 third prizes. The project of "key technology and engineering application of 800mn large die forging press" jointly developed by 9 units including China Erzhong and General Institute of Mechanical Sciences won the special prize of science and technology of China machinery industry.
Incremental contraction in traditional fields, focusing on frontier emerging markets
The association predicts that in 2022, the heavy machinery industry will face the economic development situation of "shrinking demand, supply shock and weakening expectation". However, at the same time, the traditional market of heavy machinery industry is in a period of high-quality transformation in which the increment is shrinking and the stock is optimized and upgraded. Emerging markets are gradually cultivated and formed. Through comprehensive analysis, the association is full of confidence in the development goal of "seeking progress while maintaining stability" of the industry this year. However, considering various factors, the actual growth rate may be lower than that in 2021, and the expected growth rate is about 4%.
As the risk of domestic epidemic spreading still exists, overseas macro policies are tightened, and the international political and economic situation is changeable, the heavy machinery industry will have both challenges and opportunities in 2022. It is necessary to implement the high requirements of improving quality and efficiency into the whole process of production and operation, consolidate the development foundation, improve product quality and reliability, form well-known brands, and ensure stable development and progress in stability. By strengthening cost management and market adaptability, we will constantly improve profitability and level, and lay a good foundation for stable development in the future.
The association suggests that enterprises can focus on the core around the world's cutting-edge technologies and meet the major national needs, continue to promote key core technology research, deepen the integration of production, learning, research and application, promote the transfer and transformation of scientific and technological achievements, speed up the upgrading of traditional products, break through a number of key technologies, especially processes, materials and software, and constantly solve the "difficult", "blocking" and "bottleneck" problems of products and major technical equipment, We will comprehensively advance the upgrading of the industrial base and the modernization of the industrial chain.
